Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.698496 0.811216 0.933523 1.075736 1.236175 1.411191 1.616168
2024-12-29 0.539770 0.697397 0.883983 1.119481 1.406973 1.744612 2.169065
2025-01-05 0.416423 0.589949 0.811149 1.110017 1.498962 1.983260 2.626479
2025-01-12 0.329721 0.506936 0.747984 1.093267 1.567436 2.187044 3.047527
2025-01-19 0.268764 0.445029 0.699133 1.082310 1.633542 2.384040 3.466074
2025-01-26 0.230900 0.408559 0.678182 1.103355 1.739857 2.637078 3.971814
2025-02-02 0.199123 0.375196 0.655607 1.116450 1.831871 2.872413 4.464244
2025-02-09 0.172008 0.344324 0.631651 1.122566 1.910813 3.090729 4.942312
2025-02-16 0.153570 0.325012 0.623099 1.150513 2.023155 3.362923 5.512654
2025-02-23 0.135163 0.302436 0.605587 1.160637 2.106096 3.593425 6.031090
2025-03-02 0.112774 0.268170 0.562718 1.122114 2.104730 3.690458 6.347405
2025-03-09 0.102475 0.256309 0.558861 1.150812 2.216681 3.972169 6.965525
2025-03-16 0.092271 0.243277 0.551820 1.174157 2.323231 4.254981 7.607126
2025-03-23 0.087491 0.241459 0.566546 1.239469 2.508564 4.679101 8.501063
2025-03-30 0.076524 0.223342 0.545918 1.234762 2.567112 4.892687 9.058693
2025-04-06 0.066097 0.204377 0.520804 1.218128 2.601435 5.065320 9.554794
2025-04-13 0.057547 0.188310 0.499590 1.206632 2.643412 5.251975 10.081665
2025-04-20 0.052460 0.180370 0.495447 1.229902 2.753259 5.564066 10.838590
2025-04-27 0.047385 0.171394 0.487648 1.244327 2.846212 5.849729 11.561225
2025-05-04 0.042457 0.161759 0.476927 1.251057 2.923708 6.110289 12.249978
2025-05-11 0.039291 0.156785 0.476982 1.281730 3.051673 6.470356 13.132073
2025-05-18 0.035515 0.149025 0.468909 1.292840 3.139435 6.758417 13.894733
2025-05-25 0.029952 0.133917 0.439424 1.250568 3.111027 6.822446 14.247426